Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.020591 0.022145 0.023760 0.025565 0.027529 0.029602 0.031958
2026-01-04 0.017971 0.020201 0.022638 0.025506 0.028795 0.032459 0.036862
2026-01-11 0.016320 0.018954 0.021940 0.025592 0.029953 0.035016 0.041370
2026-01-18 0.015070 0.017966 0.021350 0.025619 0.030888 0.037219 0.045459
2026-01-25 0.014145 0.017245 0.020962 0.025778 0.031897 0.039474 0.049655
2026-02-01 0.013183 0.016384 0.020309 0.025515 0.032300 0.040923 0.052848
2026-02-08 0.012290 0.015538 0.019599 0.025099 0.032430 0.041975 0.055519
2026-02-15 0.011609 0.014911 0.019115 0.024921 0.032826 0.043352 0.058661
2026-02-22 0.010971 0.014296 0.018600 0.024653 0.033057 0.044484 0.061489
2026-03-01 0.010430 0.013776 0.018176 0.024468 0.033370 0.045715 0.064495
2026-03-08 0.009943 0.013300 0.017780 0.024289 0.033661 0.046906 0.067483
2026-03-15 0.009571 0.012959 0.017546 0.024316 0.034230 0.048505 0.071144
2026-03-22 0.009138 0.012528 0.017186 0.024170 0.034581 0.049862 0.074627
2026-03-29 0.008767 0.012169 0.016911 0.024134 0.035095 0.051495 0.078657
2026-04-05 0.008461 0.011887 0.016729 0.024219 0.035783 0.053418 0.083260
2026-04-12 0.008163 0.011598 0.016519 0.024245 0.036371 0.055205 0.087744
2026-04-19 0.007920 0.011379 0.016399 0.024394 0.037151 0.057323 0.092905
2026-04-26 0.007589 0.011012 0.016038 0.024148 0.037279 0.058387 0.096325
2026-05-03 0.007243 0.010607 0.015601 0.023756 0.037146 0.059001 0.098986
2026-05-10 0.006976 0.010311 0.015315 0.023589 0.037365 0.060204 0.102754
2026-05-17 0.006705 0.009997 0.014988 0.023337 0.037424 0.061128 0.106065
2026-05-24 0.006468 0.009727 0.014719 0.023164 0.037602 0.062258 0.109816
2026-05-31 0.006246 0.009472 0.014461 0.022996 0.037774 0.063379 0.113614